By Dennis Sevakis
The very green Germans have major concerns regarding their dependence on renewables:
‘Die Welt’ Commentary: “Europe Can’t Bail Out The German Power Supply”…Calls Strategy “A Dangerous Miscalculation”
Germany has seriously overestimated how much its neighboring countries are able to help out in the event wind and solar energy fail to deliver, thus putting its power supply at risk.
By P. Gosselin on 11 September 2018
Little attention is paid to the question of just how much “climate change” is a result of human activity, i.e., CO2 emissions into the atmosphere resulting from the burning of fossil fuels. Does anyone have a handle on this?
A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions
ABSTRACT:We examine tropospheric temperature trends of 67runs from 22 ‘Climate of the 20th Century’ model simulations and try to reconcile them with the best available updated observations (in the tropics during the satellite era). Model results and observed temperature trends are in disagreement in most of the tropical troposphere, being separated by more than twice the uncertainty of the model mean. In layers near 5 km, the modelled trend is 100 to 300% higher than observed, and, above 8 km, modelled and observed trends have opposite signs. These conclusions contrast strongly with those of recent publications based on essentially the same data.
Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society
Received 31 May 2007; Accepted 11 October 2007
I’ve sent that around before, and here’s one of the replies I received in response to the question:
“So, you think the following (‘A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions’) is b.s.? You don’t understand it? Or something else? Just asking.”
Answer: “So tilts the narrative that conclusions are not credible. (can collect enough isolated facts to prove almost anything – in this case, I just don’t agree with premise.)”
… which indicates absolutely zero understanding of the issue. The degree of warming in the tropical troposphere resulting from an increase of CO2 is the central premise behind the climate change hoopla. The fact that such warming is not occurring to the degree predicted by the climate models is not an ‘isolated fact,’ it is a very strong indication that there is a real disconnect between theory and reality. The linchpin is weak or missing.
Whatever observed changes are taking place, they are probably not primarily the result of CO2 “pollution.”
What’s also missing is any great awareness of this by the general population. Try asking friends or acquaintances what their understanding is of the connection between human activity and “climate change.” A blank stare is often the result.
As far as our climate crisis leadership elites are concerned, I have little idea how many are merely ignorant, or lying, or both. Whatever the case may be, it’s misdirection on steroids. 90% politics, 10% science.
For more on the issue of what’s “science” and what’s “denial,” spend some time browsing the “Science and Environmental Policy Project” website.
“The first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool.”
– Physicist Richard Feynman, Nobel Laureate.
I occasionally remind myself of that.